While the BJP government is banking on being voted back into power on the basis of its schemes and plans, Hindutva policies, and Modi’s personal credibility, it has failed to deliver its promises of Swachh Bharat, subsidies to farmers, insurance for poor workers, assistance for affordable housing, medi-care and help to build toilets. It has destroyed the economy with the demon of demonetisation and the poor implementation of GST. Banks have been destroyed by huge scams and the sacking of top executives. Even the morale of senior Defence officials has been shattered as they have been accused of leaking sensitive documents exposing the Modi Rafale scam

Achievements that BJP is banking on to make a comeback in 2019

SCHEMES FOR THE WELFARE OF THE POOR.

• Ayushman Bharat or The National Health Protection Scheme: Over 100 crore poor families will be provided coverage of `5 lakhs per family per year.
• PM Rural Housing Scheme or Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana (Gramin): 1.24 crore houses built in past 4 years.
• Ujjwala Yojana: Women of 5 crore BPL families have been provided LPG connections.
• Swachh Bharat Mission: Over 8 crore toilets built under the scheme.
• Saubhagya or Pradhan Mantri Sahaj Bijli Har Ghar Yojana: The government vowed that electricity will reach all Indians households by December 31, 2018.
• Fasal Bima Yojana or the crop insurance scheme: 4.87 crore farmers got their crops insured in 2018.
• Mudra Yojana: Disbursal of loans for small businesses — over 12 crore people have benefited from loans worth `6 lakh crore. These include 75% women of which 55% are SC/ST and OBCs. Of the total beneficiaries, 18% are SCs and 5% are STs.
• Jan-Dhan Yojana: Zero balance accounts were opened to facilitate Direct Benefit Transfers (DBT) under Central schemes for financial inclusion. Till July 2018, a total of 31 crore accounts were opened and `7,200 crore deposited.

APPEASEMENT OF SC/ST AND OBCs

• Granting constitutional status to National Commission for Backward Classes (NCBC): OBCs are 52%of the population as per the 1931 census.
• A bill was passed to overturn the Supreme Court order that diluted the provision of the SC/ST (Prevention of Atrocities) Act. SCs and STs account for over 25% of the population.

DEVELOPMENT AGENDA

• Fast pace of building roads.
• Modernizing railway infra-structure and working towards making the high speed bullet train a reality.
• Monitoring Central schemes through the multi-modal platform “Pragati” for timely implementation.
• Attacking corruption by claiming to weed out middlemen thronging the Capital’s power centre.

HINDUTVA

• The BJP is banking on the Ram temple issue and the larger Hindutva agenda.

THE M FACTOR

• PM Narendra Modi remains BJP’s trump card. The party is banking on his charisma and oratory and personal credibility to take them past the winning post.

The taints on the BJP’s collar that can work against it

MODINOMICS

• Demonetisation: It has been proven beyond doubt that DeMo was a failure. It neither weeded out black money from the system nor fake notes, as 99.3%of all demonetised high value bank notes were deposited back.
  – GST: The hasty implementation of the Goods and Services Tax has hit the small traders and businessman who com- plain of tedious processes and harassment.
• Growing Tension between the government and the RBI as the former wants to tighten control over central bank.
• Spiralling fuel prices: Prices of diesel and petrol are at an all-time high, hitting the common man.
• Unemployment: The lack of jobs are rising unemployment continue to be a big issue on the ground with increasing frustration among the youth.
• Agrarian distress: Farmers across the country are angry with the Modi government as they claim that neither farm insurance nor the MSP are working on ground and that their lot remains debt-ridden and distressed.

DIMINISHED CREDIBILITY OF ORGANISATIONS
– CBI: The war within the CBI has put a question mark on its investigations.

• ED: The CBI was has encompassed the Enforcement Directorate with the integrity of the organisation becoming suspect.
• Supreme Court: The sting of the unprecedented press conference by three of the senior most judge of the SC this year is still being felt.

BUREAUCRACY

• The entrenched bureaucracy seems to be turning against the BJP-led government as they openly express resentment at Gujarat officers being thrust at the Centre. Mood among the babus is seen as a wind vane to gauge the electoral swing.

‘SUIT-BOOT KI SARKAR’

• The air is sour with the Congress constantly harping on alleged corruption in the Rafale deal and launching personal attacks on PM Modi. The Ambani-Adani refrain is finding some resonance on ground.

DIVISIVE AGENDA
Keeping the Ayodhya Ram mandir pot on constant simmer, consistent references to the NRC and that it should be introduced in other states after Assam, and the party’s stand on the recent Sabarimala issue, the BJP politics is seen as divisive and communal by many.